Panthers are 7-1 ATS in their last eight games as a road underdog. Carolina is 7-2 to the Under, so we’ll see if the Panthers defense can hold the Cardinals offense in check. The Cardinals are 5-4 to the Under, but that has more to do with how well their defense has played than the success of opponents in holding the offense down.
- You still would rather have the hook on your side whenever possible, but the edge is less than it is on the number 3.
- These provide insights to sports bettors as to how a team performs against the spread at home and on the road, and as underdogs and favorites.
- The element that separates betting on NFL preseason and regular-season games is the personnel.
- The AFC’s top team is a double-digit favorite for this week’s divisional battle against the Texans.
The teams have combined to go 8-2 to the Over, with 4-1 Over records for each. They’ve gone on totals through informative post seven games and find themselves a big underdog on Monday Night Football. The Jets are not having a good season and will send Mike White and/or Joe Flacco out there this week in hopes of improving upon a 1-5 SU and ATS record.
Baltimore Ravens 6
Buffalo comes into Week 3 as 7.5-point chalk and a 6-2 ATS record in its previous eight games as a favorite. He nearly eclipsed 300 yards passing and threw a pair of TD passes against one of the NFL’s tougher defenses. Wideout Courtland Sutton had his best game of the NFL betting season to date, catching seven balls for 120 yards and a score. The Broncos continue to rank among the top-10 in scoring defense and adjusted defensive efficiency despite the two recent setbacks.
Scores And Odds
The line has moved strongly against struggling rookie Trevor Lawrence – as the line has moved five points off the opening number (-2.5) through both the prime numbers of three and seven. Fading the public wouldn’t have worked in this scenario, and the oddsmakers’ algorithms ended up being wrong even though the value was on the Rams. Zach Wilson is not Illegal Sports Betting ready to return, so it has already been announced that Joe Flacco will be the starting QB for New York. I believe Miami is still one of the worst teams in the NFL and I have no interest in endorsing them as the road favorite of more than one FG in a divisional game. Last week the Buccaneers, Titans and Rams were three of the highest-bet teams and attracted 65% or more of the tickets.
Use of this information in contravention of any law is prohibited. This year, 55% of all games have hit the under, excluding overtime contests. One of the key factors here is a downward trend in scoring across the league. After leaguewide scoring peaked last year at 24.8 PPG, it’s back down to 23.2, which is still high but closer to the average the past 10 years. Vegas has been slow to move on this trend, though I wouldn’t be optimistic that this will hold in the back half of the year. The biggest shocker is the Jets, who despite facing double-digit spreads at times, are still failing to cover nearly 80% of the time.
Kansas City Chiefs 5
Green Bay is 6-2 outright and ATS in September under Matt LaFleur, including 3-0 last season (0-1 this season). Six straight meetings and nine of the last ten have gone over the total. Las Vegas is 14-3 to the over since the start of last season, the highest over percentage in the NFL.
Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games as a home favorite. Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up win. Browns are 5-0 ATS in their last five games following a straight-up win. Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games as a home underdog.
Detroit enters 0-7 SU, but 4-3 ATS, so the Fightin’ Dan Campbells have at least gotten to the window, even though they haven’t gotten to Victory Lane. These two teams started their seasons in very different ways, but things have certainly changed. The Panthers started 3-0 and have lost four in a row to fall to 3-4. The Falcons are up to .500 after last week’s win against the Dolphins and look to have turned a corner. Arizona is a perfect 7-0 this season and now a big favorite to move to 8-0.
Sports Betting By State
The Patriots are on fire and with Belichick, they tend to take care of so-called trap games like this. Belichick has owned the Falcons and that shouldn’t change here opposite Smith. Speaking of Ryan, he’s been on a roller coaster in yet another new offense for him, which tends to be the case. He’s got limited protection on top of lower-level weapons except for Pitts.